The main question currently on the agenda is the scenario of how events will unfold: whether the world will follow a rapid path with a sudden emergence of AGI or if development will proceed more slowly, with gradual growth in capabilities and reaching a ceiling. The key point here is when exactly the stage will occur when models begin to recursively improve themselves. That is, when systems like GPT, Claude, and others become as valuable as researchers in laboratories in terms of creating new and more powerful versions of their counterparts.
Recent public disclosures indicate that
1. Such a possibility is quite real
2. Most likely, this is already happening within the laboratories themselves
At this point, I would recommend considering the rapid takeoff scenario — the so-called fast takeoff — when planning your strategies and actions.
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